Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 13.589101 15.860364 18.336370 21.228489 24.506032 28.096983 32.320743
2025-06-08 9.130513 12.053079 15.577214 20.103370 25.722023 32.424718 40.978158
2025-06-15 7.337852 10.660872 14.989588 20.956791 28.871367 38.900323 52.443329
2025-06-22 5.988887 9.451916 14.269829 21.315441 31.180385 44.301544 62.830320
2025-06-29 4.800043 8.183743 13.185486 20.901344 32.237729 47.969740 71.060325
2025-07-06 3.801475 6.982781 11.965266 20.046374 32.459244 50.363950 77.573170
2025-07-13 3.459158 6.749883 12.148437 21.258194 35.744935 57.273043 90.868441
2025-07-20 3.141961 6.494011 12.239014 22.297637 38.812248 64.029611 104.337880
2025-07-27 2.802866 6.133308 12.091900 22.904832 41.210729 69.895345 116.796794
2025-08-03 2.446994 5.673529 11.700839 23.034270 42.808155 74.582895 127.687761
2025-08-10 2.072756 5.105402 11.029314 22.580694 43.358722 77.600873 136.092116
2025-08-17 1.743187 4.564498 10.327698 21.977246 43.566760 80.029121 143.636876
2025-08-24 1.439750 4.041787 9.631541 21.391330 43.912220 82.977157 152.693692
2025-08-31 1.137666 3.454607 8.718921 20.290983 43.255630 84.250085 159.207014
2025-09-07 1.036182 3.337145 8.786806 21.157056 46.346271 92.247024 177.638312
2025-09-14 0.913230 3.132509 8.625179 21.519679 48.488353 98.685814 193.739899
2025-09-21 0.762605 2.809694 8.132392 21.102331 49.036547 102.246057 204.953535
2025-09-28 0.615068 2.450176 7.482308 20.240280 48.580167 103.880124 212.766444
2025-10-05 0.584514 2.447601 7.731008 21.462173 52.553225 114.128400 236.855013
2025-10-12 0.548159 2.416385 7.899127 22.510189 56.236010 124.027365 260.790528
2025-10-19 0.498319 2.324555 7.888222 23.122366 59.019900 132.328241 282.138774
2025-10-26 0.438007 2.175963 7.693084 23.252864 60.745808 138.627409 299.994153
2025-11-02 0.368658 1.968275 7.288053 22.795571 61.100007 142.175241 312.720310